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Migrants who crossed the Rio Grande and entered the U.S. from Mexico are lined up Sept. 23, 2023, for U.S. Customs and Border Protection processing in Eagle Pass, Texas. (AP) Migrants who crossed the Rio Grande and entered the U.S. from Mexico are lined up Sept. 23, 2023, for U.S. Customs and Border Protection processing in Eagle Pass, Texas. (AP)

Migrants who crossed the Rio Grande and entered the U.S. from Mexico are lined up Sept. 23, 2023, for U.S. Customs and Border Protection processing in Eagle Pass, Texas. (AP)

Amy Sherman
By Amy Sherman February 6, 2024

Elon Musk is wrong to say Joe Biden is recruiting immigrants to create a Democratic majority

If Your Time is short

  • It can take a decade or longer for an immigrant to become a U.S. citizen, a requirement to vote in federal elections.

  • On his first day as president, Joe Biden asked Congress to create a path to citizenship for immigrants in the country illegally. But the current Senate bill, which Biden supports, would not do that. 

  • There is no guarantee that immigrants who become citizens will vote for Democrats. 

  • Our mission: Help you be an informed participant in democracy. Learn more.

Days before senators unveiled a immigration bill aimed at slowing illegal immigration, Elon Musk riffed on a common myth that Democrats want mass illegal immigration to gain more voters. 

"Biden’s strategy is very simple: 1. Get as many illegals in the country as possible. 2. Legalize them to create a permanent majority – a one-party state," Musk posted Feb. 2 on X. "That is why they are encouraging so much illegal immigration. Simple, yet effective." 

Over one week, Musk posted about immigration about two dozen times; another post said that "every deportation is a lost vote." The morning after a trio of bipartisan senators unveiled the immigration bill, Musk wrote, "The long-term goal of the so-called ‘Border Security’ bill is enabling illegals to vote! It will do the total opposite of securing the border."

Musk’s statement echoes a recent statement by former President Donald Trump, who said, "That’s why they are allowing these people to come in — people that don’t speak our language — they are signing them up to vote." We rated that Pants on Fire

Such statements align with conspiracy theories about the "great replacement," which claim white people of European descent are deliberately being replaced with nonwhite people. 

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Musk provided no evidence to show such a Biden strategy exists. And the claim doesn’t add up, because it takes immigrants years to become U.S. citizens, and there’s no guarantee that immigrants who gain citizenship will vote for Democrats. 

We emailed the X press account and received an automatic reply saying, "busy now, please check back later." 

It takes many years for immigrants to become voting citizens 

Musk called this alleged strategy "very simple" and "effective," but it’s neither. 

Federal law requires citizenship as a condition to vote in national elections. Gaining citizenship can take a decade or longer. 

Interacting with the government, including trying to vote, is something immigrants in the country illegally try to avoid, Mike Madrid, a Republican strategist, previously told PolitiFact: "They are not going to go register to vote and expose themselves."

Occasionally, noncitizens have been prosecuted for voting. When noncitizens register to vote, it is often in error.

Biden supports new Senate bill that doesn’t have path to citizenship 

Musk’s X post included a screenshot of a January 2021 Associated Press article about Biden’s plan to ask Congress to create a path for citizenship for immigrants in the country illegally. But Biden’s efforts stalled because his proposed 2021 bill did not advance.

Biden has said if it passes, he will sign the new Senate legislation that is considerably tougher on immigration. If fully implemented, the proposed legislation would decrease the number of immigrants permitted into the country because of its higher standard to be considered for asylum. 

It’s unclear whether the bill has the votes to pass the Senate. House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., has said it is dead on arrival.

Michelle Mittelstadt, a spokesperson for the nonpartisan Migration Policy Institute, said the new legislation "does not provide any path to citizenship for anyone currently in the country illegally and would not in any way expedite legal permanent residence for any future border arrivals."

"It takes on average 5 years in green card status before a person can become a U.S. citizen, so no one would instantly gain the right to vote," Mittelstadt said.

And there is no guarantee that immigrants who become citizens will vote for Democrats. 

Experts have told us it’s ridiculous to make assumptions about how immigrants crossing the border now will vote in the future if they gain citizenship.

Featured Fact-check

Musk’s comments spread misinformation about elections

Since Musk bought Twitter for $44 billion in 2022, the platform now known as X has removed guardrails designed to restrict the flow of mis- and disinformation. 

It’s easy to discount such "conspiracy theory nonsense" from random trolls on X, but it’s powerful when it comes from Musk who owns the platform, said Anthony Gutierrez, executive director of Common Cause Texas, a group that advocates for voting rights.

Democracies require participation, and falsehoods "only increase the likelihood that people will lose faith in our elections and simply opt out," Gutierrez said.

Our ruling

Musk said Biden’s strategy is to "get as many illegals in the country as possible" and "legalize them to create a permanent majority." 

The path to U.S. citizenship, which is required for voting in federal elections, can take a decade, so the current influx of immigrants would not lead to a significant number of new voters for many years, if ever. 

Even when immigrants become voting citizens, it doesn’t mean the United States will become a one-party nation. 

Biden currently supports a Senate immigration bill that does not create a broad path to citizenship. 

We rate this statement False.  

RELATED: No, the Senate immigration bill does not allow 5,000 people to illegally enter the U.S. daily

RELATED: Trump's claim that millions of immigrants are signing up to vote illegally is Pants on Fire!

RELATED: Biden Promise Tracker including promises about pathway to citizenship, immigration judges and refugee admissions

Our Sources

Elon Musk, X post, Feb. 2, 2024

Elon Musk, X post, Feb. 2, 2023

Elon Musk, X post, Feb. 5, 2023

Elon Musk, X post, Feb. 5, 2023

Elon Musk, X post, Jan. 10, 2024

FORBES, Musk Echoes Right Wing Claims On Immigration As Bipartisan Senate Bill Finally Released: What To Know, Feb. 5, 2024

New York Times, Elon Musk Is Spreading Election Misinformation, but X’s Fact Checkers Are Long Gone, Jan. 25, 2024

NBC News, Poll: 20-point deficit on handling economy highlights Biden’s struggles against Trump, Feb. 4, 2024

Email interview, Mike Madrid, Republican strategist, Feb. 5, 2024

Email interview, Michelle Mittelstadt, spokesperson at the Migration Policy institute, Feb. 5, 2024

Email interview, Anthony Gutierrez, executive director Common Cause Texas, Feb. 5, 2024

Pew Research Center, Behind Biden’s 2020 Victory, June 30, 2021

Pew Research Center, The changing racial and ethnic composition of the U.S. electorate, Sept. 23, 2020

Pew Research Center, Most Cuban American voters identify as Republican in 2020, Oct. 2, 2020

Gabriel Sanchez for Brookings, Immigration and the Latino vote: A golden opportunity for Democrats in 2022, June 17, 2021

WOSU, Immigration, false election claims get the spotlight in GOP U.S. Senate debate, March 29, 2022

Apple Podcasts, Latino Vote Podcast, 2022

Migration Policy Institute, Controversial U.S. Title 42 Expulsions Policy Is Coming to an End, Bringing New Border Challenges, March 31, 2022

Ohio Latino Affairs Commission, 2020 Election Participation in Ohio: A Focus on Hispanic/Latino Voters, 2021

U.S. Middle District U.S. Attorneys Office, Federal Authorities Charge Nineteen with Voter Fraud, Sept. 2, 2020

AP, Trump suggests unauthorized migrants will vote. The idea stirs his base, but ignores reality, Jan. 9, 2024

Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, Secretary Raffensperger Refers 1,600 Noncitizen Registrants to Local DAs, GBI, State Election Board, April 11, 2022

Colorado Public radio, Colorado accidentally sent voter registration notices to 30,000 residents who are not citizens, Oct. 7, 2022

Wall Street Apes, X post, Jan. 8, 2024

Donald Trump, X post, Oct. 31, 2014

City of Takoma Park, Maryland, 30 years of noncitizen voting in Takoma Park, Oct. 6, 2023

PolitiFact, Trump's claim that millions of immigrants are signing up to vote illegally is Pants on Fire! Jan. 12, 2024

PolitiFact, Ramaswamy’s Pants on Fire claim that the Democratic platform includes the ‘great replacement theory’ Dec. 13, 2023

PolitiFact, JD Vance’s ad about ‘open border’ and immigrant voters is wrong, April 8, 2022

PolitiFact, "Pence falsely says if HR 1 passes, millions of people in US illegally will be registered to vote," March 5, 2021

PolitiFact, "Do states verify citizenship of voters in federal elections?" Dec. 7, 2020

PolitiFact, "Fact-checking Trump's claim on cost of illegal immigration, number of immigrants here illegally," Jan. 28, 2019

PolitiFact, "No evidence ‘many’ illegal immigrants voted in midterm elections, as Lou Dobbs said," Nov. 16, 2018

PolitiFact, "Donald Trump Jr. tweets misleading 2012 headline about Florida noncitizen voters," Nov. 13, 2018

PolitiFact, "Donald Trump says there's 'substantial evidence of voter fraud.' There isn't," Jan. 5, 2018

PolitiFact, "Following Trump voter fraud allegations, claim that 5.7 million noncitizens voted is wrong," June 22, 2017

PolitiFact, "Fact-check: Did 3 million undocumented immigrants vote in this year's election?" Nov. 18, 2016

PolitiFact, "Donald Trump's Pants on Fire claim that millions of illegal votes cost him popular vote victory," Nov. 18, 2016

PolitiFact, "Trump wrongfully says immigrants voting illegally won North Carolina for Obama in 2008," Oct. 19, 2016

PolitiFact, "Donald Trump repeats Pants on Fire claim about '30 million' illegal immigrants," Sept. 1, 2016

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Elon Musk is wrong to say Joe Biden is recruiting immigrants to create a Democratic majority

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